Denial in more ways than one?
On Global Front, No Consensus Is a Consensus
The Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012, but there seems little chance that the 17th Conference of the Parties in Durban, South Africa, will end with an international plan on the next steps for climate change. The major sticking point remains how to split the responsibility for emission cuts between developed and developing economies.
But all the international wrangling in the world will not change how the accumulation of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere affects the planet. A new report by the Global Carbon Project reveals that global CO2 emissions took their largest annual jump upwards in 2010, while new analysis, by the International Energy Agency, indicates that if no action is taken to curb greenhouse gas emissions, global temperature could climb by 11 degrees Fahrenheit (6 degrees Celsius) by 2100. And the latest from the World Meteorological Association is that 2011 is expected to be the tenth hottest year on record.
Such news may make it seem as if the world has not yet reached a consensus on climate change. In fact, it does reflect a consensus: a consensus to do nothing and just proceed with business as usual despite the warning signs.
Score one for the deniers.
All Not Quiet on the National Front
In the United States, the deniers, not content with business as usual, appear to be aiming for the jugular. With calls to disband the Environmental Protection Agency and bills in Congress like the oh-so-cleverly titled “Regulations from the Executive in Need of Scrutiny” — or REINS — Act to require Congressional approval of new regulations proposed by the executive branch, the deniers seem to be hoping to use their current political ascendancy to deal a fatal blow to even the possibility of a nationally coordinated climate change policy anytime soon. (For insight into Congressional members’ unofficial climate-denial caucus and their motivations, I strongly recommend checking out this recent article from the National Journal.) Score another for the deniers.
With news like this, it’s little wonder why deniers like those whose bylines frequent the opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal are gleefully proclaiming victory. You can almost hear the corks popping from their CO2-laden Champagne bottles.
Don’t Pop Those Corks Just Yet
But just as Yogi Berra advises that “it ain’t over ’til it’s over,” declarations of denial victory may be premature. Consider the following:
Congressional denial out of touch with America?
And Exxon Mobil isn’t alone. Shell, BP, and Chevron all have similar statements.
Deniers on one side; and voters, investors, and corporations on the other. Sure, the climate deniers are in a state of denial about the future course of our climate. They could also be in a state of denial about the direction America and the rest of the world are inevitably taking in response to climate change.
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